P(d)

Got distracted by the calculation of the previous post, so I forgot what was the purpose of it all? Indeed. Take a look at this crude sketch:

image

That’s your life in one picture if you’re an average western male (for entertainment illustrative purposes only.) Y axis is the probability of death at a given second of your life, X axis. Note, that  P is never zero. It really sucks in the beginning (you could’ve been aborted!), and obviously in the end. But plenty of shit can happen in between. Somebody just died.

Fortunately, humans have optimistic bias. Otherwise life’d be even more miserable. Hyperbolic discounting is cool too.

Now, I’ll make an omelet. Maybe.

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